We build it. We trade it.

Numanti is a quantitative research firm focused on macroeconomic modeling. We develop fair value models, regime detection systems, and other tools that institutional desks have used for decades — and we make them accessible

Our approach is simple: we build models for our own trading, stake our own capital on them, and sell access to those we believe add genuine value.

Why we exist?

There's a gap. Free resources offer opinions without rigor. Institutional services cost thousands per month. Serious traders in between have few options.

We fill that gap with research-backed tools at accessible prices — the same methodology we use, validated and documented.

What Makes Us Different

Skin in the game. Every model we sell is one we use ourselves. Our capital is on the line.

Rigorous methodology. Our models are built on established econometric principles, not pattern-mining or curve-fitting. We validate out-of-sample and document our approach in white papers.

Tools, not signals. We provide fundamental layers for your process — not buy/sell alerts or black-box systems. You make the decisions.

Honest about limitations. Markets are humbling. We tell you what our models don't do, not just what they do.

Our standards

• Economic theory drives variable selection — we don't mine data for patterns
• Out-of-sample validation is mandatory — in-sample fit alone means nothing
• We document methodology openly — so you can evaluate our work
• We update models as markets evolve — relationships change, and so do we

Contact

Questions about our research or products? Reach us - contact at numinv dot com